Research on the Application of Weather Forecast Integration Technology and Methods

Author: Qi Minghui
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2006-03-01
Features: ig">This book introduces some deterministic and uncertain issues in atmospheric science and its prediction, forecasting theory, and technology, as well as ensemble and integrated forecasting principles and methods. The book is divided into two main parts: The first part primarily discusses the deterministic and nondeterministic problems in atmospheric motion. Through theoretical derivation and case analysis, it elaborates on how the duality of determinism and nondeterminism in the atmospheric system leads to the dual attributes of accuracy and inaccuracy in predictions. This necessitates the use of ensemble and integrated forecasting to minimize uncertainties in the forecasting process, thereby improving accuracy. It also discusses the fundamental principles and technical methods of ensemble and integrated forecasting, presenting some experiences and results from research and experimental studies on ensemble and integrated forecasting techniques and methods in Yunnan Province. The second part primarily introduces a comprehensive integrated forecasting operational system based on integrated forecasting technology. The book combines theoretical derivation with case analysis, offering a systematic and practical approach. It is suitable for professional technicians and researchers and educators in meteorology, hydrology, and related fields. It is particularly suitable for provincial meteorological operational and research personnel.