Guangxi Macroeconomic Model and Business Cycle Forecast

Author: Song Desheng
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2005-10-01
Features: This book starts from the basic knowledge and theory of model design, introducing the concepts and theories of the National Accounts System, national economic statistics, and basic accounting methods, as well as concepts like substitution elasticity and input-output. It provides methods and design structures for the design of local macroeconomic forecasting models, including monthly and quarterly boom models, general quarterly models, quarterly co-integration models, and general annual models. The book summarizes the author's years of experience in applied quantitative economics research, and the proposed methods, theories, and models hold high academic reference value for various regions. This book is suitable for researchers engaged in local economic studies, especially those involved in economic forecasting, as well as economics majors, postgraduate students, and educators in macroeconomics and econometrics. It can also be referenced by personnel from local Party committees' policy research offices, local government development research centers, local Party schools, and local social science academies.