2003 China Energy Problem Research

Author: Zhou Dali, Editor-in-Chief
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2005-01-01
Features: Energy is a crucial guarantee for economic development. Modernization and rapid economic growth require ample and stable active support. In 2003, China faced tight energy supply. The overall supply-demand situation for coal was tight, with localized shortages and supply constraints in certain coal types. Based on the goal of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects proposed at the 16th National Congress, China's projected coal demand by 2020 is as follows: Low scenario (energy-saving, ecological, and environmental): 1.76 billion tons; Medium-low scenario: 2.3 billion tons; Medium scenario: 2.3 billion tons; High scenario: 2.8 billion tons (relatively extensive growth model). However, China's current annual coal production capacity from mines with an output of 30,000 tons or more exceeds 20%, indicating a severe shortage in coal production capacity. It is estimated that by 2020, the combined production capacity of state-owned mines in operation and under construction will be approximately 710 million tons. If small coal mines contribute around 1.5 billion tons, it is clear that forming a high-quality coal supply capacity to achieve the goal of building a moderately prosperous society in all respects is an extremely challenging task. This book focuses on the research achievements in four fields—energy economy and development strategy, energy efficiency, new and renewable energy, and energy environment and climate change—by the author and their team over the past year in 2003. It showcases the research outcomes in these four areas and discusses the development trends of 2003.