Strategy: Forecasting and Decision Making

Author: Hu Guangyu
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2005-01-01
Features: Modern Management Series Textbook. Based on the author's extensive experience in studying, monitoring, and participating in the forecasting and decision-making of development strategies for governments and enterprises, government management consulting, enterprise management consulting, financial and securities market analysis, financial and actuarial analysis, gambling analysis, production process automation control system forecasting analysis, power plant operation control, and other fields, this book summarizes and introduces statistical knowledge, forecasting theory, decision-making theory, and project pre-evaluation and post-evaluation theory involved in strategic management, macroeconomics, economics and management, public policy and public management, finance, securities, and finance. It proposes a systematic methodological theory for survey statistics and data mining, forecasting, pre-evaluation, decision-making, implementation, and post-evaluation, with a focus on deepening the perspectives of forecasting and decision-making. The book integrates disciplines such as mathematics, engineering thermodynamics, automatic control theory, economics, management, strategic management, public policy and public management, financial accounting, and more.
It aims to address the data survey and statistical challenges faced in social and economic operations and management, utilizing data mining techniques to provide various forecasting algorithms and models, serving as a basis for forecasting and pre-evaluation work. By combining practical scenarios during the implementation process, decision-making models are offered to facilitate scientific decision-making. The formulated decisions are then implemented during task execution, and post-evaluation methods are applied to assess and provide feedback on the implementation process and outcomes, enabling dynamic adjustments and development to further enhance strategic and forecasting capabilities, decision-making levels, and execution capabilities.