Rising Powers—The Game of Historic Rise and Prospects: The Game of Historic Rise and Prospects

Author: Song Yuhua
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2004-09-01
Features: Objectively analyzes the historical trends of emerging powers' rise, comprehensively discusses China's optimal strategy for a peaceful rise. The rapidly rising non-Western emerging powers—Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs)—will trigger a revolution that reshapes the world's power dynamics. The model and path chosen by emerging powers are crucial, as they will determine whether they can rise smoothly and truly enter the center of global power. Currently, China is the leading emerging power among the BRICs, at the heart of this revolution, facing the greatest challenges and pressures. The potential influence of China's development model is also expanding. Therefore, this book holds significant importance for China and other emerging powers in choosing and formulating correct international strategies and tactics. The rise of emerging powers is an irreversible historical trend. Based on an analysis of the international strategic opportunities for emerging powers' rise and the models and experiences of historical great power rises, this book focuses on studying the competition and prospects of emerging powers' rise, as well as the challenges they pose to the existing international landscape. The rapid rise of emerging powers is bound to reshape the current international, and they are inevitably destined to encounter forces seeking to contain their rise. Thus, the rise and containment of emerging powers will be the main contradiction in international society for a considerable period of time. This book conducts an international political economy analysis of emerging powers' rise and establishes a game model to study the various contradictions that may arise in the process, including conflicts and tensions between existing great powers and emerging powers. It separately examines the strategic approaches of the United States, the European Union, and Japan toward emerging powers' rise. It systematically studies the rise strategies of Brazil, Russia, and India, as well as their competitive and cooperative relationships with China. Finally, grounded in China's national conditions, the book analyzes the significance of the Chinese development model, which the West has named the "Beijing Consensus," for developing countries. It comprehensively discusses the optimal strategy for China's peaceful rise and explores the global significance of China's choice of the "peaceful rise" strategy.