Research on Extended Forecast of Monthly Power Dynamics

Author: Li Weijing, edited by Ji Liren
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2000-11-01
Features: This book collects 22 research papers from the subproject "Dynamical Ensemble Forecast Method" of the second topic "Research on Operational Dynamical Models for Short-Term Climate Prediction" under the key national research project "Research on the National Short-Term Climate Prediction System" during the 9th Five-Year Plan period (1996-2000). The main contents include five aspects: (1) Introduction to the parallelized monthly dynamical ensemble prediction system established on a super MPP computer; (2) Theoretical and applied research on the initial value formation of dynamical ensemble prediction; (3) Research on the theory and methods of dynamical ensemble prediction, proposing the principle and method of the optimal ensemble, which has its own distinctive features; (4) Research and application of interpretation methods for monthly dynamical ensemble prediction products suitable for the urgent needs of regional and provincial meteorological departments for interpreting dynamical products; (5) Emphasis on the improvement of the physical processes of the underlying surface in the model to make it more suitable for monthly dynamical ensemble prediction, while also including an outlook on the future development of numerical climate prediction. This book can serve as a reference for researchers in meteorological science, relevant departments engaged in climate prediction, and scientific workers in related disciplines, as well as faculty and students of relevant institutions.