Research on China's Trade Balance Fluctuations - Causes, Cycles, Impacts, and Response Analysis

Author: Zheng Guihuan, Shi Desen, Wang Shouyang
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2006-10-01
Features: This book compiles some of the authors' recent research findings on China's trade balance, covering four main aspects: causes, cycles, impacts, and responses. First, it introduces and analyzes the structural evolution and current characteristics of China's trade balance, and then conducts an in-depth study on the employment-driven factors of the trade balance. Second, from the perspectives of cycle theory and leading indicator methods, it analyzes the export cycle, import cycle, and trade balance cycle, establishing respective leading composite indices for predictive analysis. Finally, from the perspectives of economic development models and economic security, it examines the impacts of trade balance and proposes several policy options to address China's trade imbalance. This book is suitable for researchers engaged in macroeconomic management studies, leaders and management personnel in relevant government departments, as well as teachers and graduate students in economics, management, and international trade at universities.