Rising Powers: The Game of Historical Rise and Prospects

Author: Song Yuhua
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2004-09-01
Features: Objectively analyzes the historical trends of emerging powers' rise, comprehensively discusses China's optimal strategy for peaceful rise. The rapidly rising non-Western emerging powers—Brazil, Russia, India, and China (BRICs)—will bring about a revolution that reshapes the world's power map. The model and path chosen by emerging powers are crucial, as they will determine whether they can rise smoothly and truly enter the center of global power. Currently, China is the leading emerging power in the midst of its rise, at the heart of this revolution, facing the greatest challenges and pressures, and the potential influence of its development model is continuously expanding. Therefore, this book holds significant importance for China and other emerging powers in choosing and formulating correct international strategies and tactics. The rise of emerging powers is an irreversible historical trend. Based on an analysis of the international strategic opportunities for emerging powers' rise and the models and experiences of historical great power rises, this book focuses on studying the game dynamics and prospects of emerging powers' rise, as well as the challenges they pose to the existing international structure. The rapid rise of emerging powers is bound to reshape the current international landscape, and they are inevitably destined to encounter forces seeking to contain their rise. Thus, the rise and the containment of rise will be the main contradiction in international society for a considerable period of history. This book conducts an international political economy analysis of emerging powers' rise and establishes a game model to study the various contradictions that may arise in the process, including conflicts and tensions between existing great powers and emerging powers. It separately examines the strategic approaches of the United States, the European Union, and Japan toward emerging powers' rise. It systematically studies the rise strategies of Brazil, Russia, and India, as well as their competitive and cooperative relationships with China. Finally, grounded in China's national conditions, the book analyzes the significance of the development model named "Beijing Consensus" by the West for developing countries, comprehensively discusses the optimal strategy for China's peaceful rise, and explores the global significance of China's choice of the "peaceful rise" strategy.