Forestry economic forecasting methods, models and computer support systems

Author: Zhang Zhiguang
Publisher:
Publish Date: 2003-06-01
Features: Management is decision-making, and decision-making requires forecasting. The correctness and success of management decisions do not depend on the current situation but rather on how various related factors will change within the future time frame affected by the decision. Therefore, visionary managers always regard forecasting as the premise and basis for scientific decision-making. For forestry and forestry economics, due to their significant dynamism, uncertainty, and profound impact on human society, forecasting becomes even more crucial. This book is a comprehensive introduction to forestry economic forecasting techniques—methods, models, and tools. It primarily discusses four aspects: (1) The basic principles and fundamental techniques of forestry economic forecasting. (2) The current status, development trends, existing problems of forestry economic forecasting techniques both domestically and internationally, as well as the development strategy for forestry economic forecasting in China. (3) The methods and model systems of forestry economic forecasting, as well as the overall forecasting model of system dynamics and its applications. (4) The basic principles, development methods, and application examples of computer support systems for forestry economic forecasting. This book emphasizes the integration of fundamental forecasting principles and new research findings, traditional forecasting methods and modern computer information technology, as well as the combination of theoretical exploration and practical applications. It is suitable for forestry economic management personnel and researchers at all levels, as well as undergraduate and graduate students in related fields.